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Technology roadmaps

Concept and methodology

The technology roadmaps serve as a basis for strategic planning and decision making. They have been drawn up by the Commission services from the ongoing work to define the proposed European Industrial Initiatives. This has been a collective endeavour that started in 2008 based on industry proposals, and has advanced through continuous discussions, workshops, multilateral meetings and expert consultations between the Commission services and the European energy technology platforms, the relevant sector associations, the research community, Member States and other stakeholders. In this framework, the information system of the SET-Plan (SETIS)http://setis.ec.europa.eu

has provided valuable data and analysis on the current state of the art of the individual technologies and their anticipated technological development and market potential through its Technology Map; and on the ongoing private and public R&D investments in these technologies through its Capacities Map. Significant steps have been taken to define measurable and suitably ambitious technological objectives and of the required research, development and demonstration activities for each EII. Consultations with the European Community Steering Group on strategic energy technologies have also been initiated via dedicated workshops to agree on the scope and content of each EII and the appropriate implementation methods.

Limitations

Although the EII roadmaps provide a master plan of the efforts needed over the next 10 years in the EU based on the best available information, they do not constitute detailed implementation plans. The detailed planning will have to be jointly elaborated and agreed by the Member States, industry and the Commission, ahead of the launch of each EII. Further prioritisation of the actions proposed will be necessary in function of the available resources and the logic of intervention at different levels.

In particular, the technology penetration targets communicated as the non-binding goals of the European Initiatives are proposed by the industry sectors, illustrating the level of their ambition and vision. Hence, these should be distinguished from the already adopted EC targets. They have not been thoroughly analysed by the Commission Services and therefore their degree of feasibility and the likeliness of reaching the indicated maximum penetration levels cannot be corroborated. The SET-Plan information system (SETIS) will review these targets as we progress towards the implementation of these Initiatives, and estimate their limits based on a robust scientific methodology and accounting for the SET-Plan objective of enabling an accelerated technological development.

Similarly, the cost estimates of the Initiatives have been derived from consultation with the industry sectors and are based on best available data.  The estimates include EU, national public funds and private investment.  They will be consolidated during the definition of the concrete implementation plans for each Initiative.

Finally, although the presentation of the roadmaps has been harmonized as far as possible, in reality, each low carbon technology faces its own challenges, market dynamics, maturity and deployment horizon. Hence, in each case, the activities are tailored to the specific innovation needs, reflecting also non-technological barriers. Similarly, the anticipated impact of the Initiatives varies both in volume, intensity and timing. It is recommended to keep the technology specificities of the roadmaps when furthering their implementation as a European Industrial Initiative.

The SET-Plan information system (SETIS) will provide a technology-neutral performance management framework to meaningfully monitor progress towards the objectives of the Initiatives and the SET-Plan as a whole, ensuring the cost-effectiveness of the allocation of public funding.